With COVID-19 being in the US for a year, according to reported cases, an Arizona health expert talks about where we are now with projections and spikes of cases.
PHOENIX – One year ago on Jan. 20, 2020, the first COVID-19 case was reported in the US. Since then, more than 24 million people have had the virus and more than 400,000 people have died from it nationally.
This latest surge from the holidays has been particularly rough, but now, there are signs things may be leveling off once again.
Will Humble, the director of the Arizona Public Health Association, says it is possible that we have reached the peak of this latest surge in COVID-19 cases.
He says that while the number of cases have leveled off, hospitalizations are still strong and the state will continue to see deaths because of past infections.
Humble says there was a lot of socializing during the holidays. Christmas and New Year’s which is what projections from universities indicated back in November.
“If you remember, that is exactly what the models were saying in November. If you go back and look at the academic models from UofA and ASU models, without interventions, what did they say? They said it would be exponential growth in December and remain in January and the bulk of the hospital burden would be in mid-January with the decline starting in late January. It’s further validation of all the models that have been produced,” Humble explained.
Thinking back to a year ago from today, Humble says that he had no idea that the virus would have turned out like this, realizing its potential in late March of 2020.