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Doctors warn that Independence Day weekend could lead to a fourth wave of COVID-19 cases


July 4, 2020 had a special meaning to many Americans.

It was not only celebrating the independence of the United States, but also the freedom of the individual.

After the COVID-19 pandemic (the closure of stores, restaurants, cinemas and other small businesses) blocked most of the country in the spring, many felt that it was finally back to normal.

Instead, the holidays began summer suffering, causing the second-largest pandemic surge, with an average of about 68,000 cases and 900 deaths per day.

The number of cases decreased by 83% compared to last year to about 11,000 per day, the number of deaths plummeted from 66% to 300 per day, and 54% of the population received at least one COVID-19 vaccination. Have received.

However, doctors have told the DailyMail.com that after this year’s vacation, another surge could occur, as it did the previous year.

Doctors fear that another surge in COVID-19 cases may be imminent, similar to the second wave (see above) that began on or after July 4, last year.

In almost every state of the United States, we find that cases are increasing or stabilizing as COViD-19 vaccination rates stagnate.

“The July surge was incredible,” Dr. Marjorie Vessel, chief clinical officer at Banner Health in Phoenix, Arizona, told the DailyMail.com, referring to last year.

The July 4th holiday began a massive surge of incidents in the United States that could not be controlled until deep in the fall.

More than 100,000 Americans died in the summer of 2020, 100,000 on May 26 and 200,000 on September 22. This is because the country has lost control of the pandemic.

Arizona has become a hotspot for COVID-19, and hospitals like Vessel have been overwhelmed by patients.

Many medical professionals like Vessel foresaw a surge, knowing that the state was reopening too soon and not enough was done to protect the Arizona.

“At that time, we knew that without a vaccine, without taking the right steps, and releasing it quickly, there would be a surge,” she said.

Vessel said it was not only disappointing to see the sick, but so many were hospitalized and could not see their loved ones at home.

Arizona, Florida, and many other parts of the country opened significantly last summer, resulting in a significant increase in cases last summer.

“How scary it is for those who are ill with COVID, have to be hospitalized, go forever behind the hospital door and can’t see their loved ones or anyone who can help them very much. That’s a very difficult illness? “She said.

“And, of course, the ultimate tragedy is the people who actually died of illness and how they are forgotten: they disappear forever from our world and are forever overlooked by family and friends. . “

Vessel explained that his hospital was overwhelmed, lacked personal protective equipment (PPE), and did not have enough space for all patients.

It was emotionally overwhelming as her team often saw many people die and had to comfort them in the last moment instead of their families due to limited visits. She said.

2021 may not be particularly cruel to Phoenix hospitals, but Vessel fears another potential surge in the coming weeks.

Arkansas is one of the states that is currently suffering from a major surge, and its case rate has increased by more than 200% from about 230 cases per day to over 700 cases per day in the last two weeks.

Coronavirus cases have also increased by 167% in the last two weeks in Nevada, from about 250 cases per day to about 660 cases.

More than 100,000 Americans died of COVID-19 in July and August last year

In Arizona, there has been a 29% surge over the past two weeks, with a 7-day moving average rising from 425 per day to 550 per day.

Arizona is completely open, but not enough residents have been vaccinated to make people in the state feel safe, Vessel said.

She said Arizona (about 50% of the state’s population received a single COVID-19 vaccine) is below the national average of 67% and is not yet close to herd immunity.

Nationwide, national vaccine deployments have stagnated as the United States failed to meet President Joe Biden’s goal of vaccination of at least 70% of the adult population by the holidays.

In addition to the Indian “delta” variant of the virus, a highly contagious variant that is sweeping the world, these factors make Vessel afraid of the future.

“We are concerned not only about the holidays, but also about the ongoing emergence of delta variants across the country, which will be much more contagious than previous variants,” she said. ..

“Look for an unvaccinated population. Arizona does not have the required level of vaccination. [be].. “

The Delta variant currently accounts for 26.1% of all new infections and is expected to become the predominant strain in the United States in the coming weeks.

But as long as more people are vaccinated, surges that believe Vessel will come can be avoided.

‘The beginning of the end of the pandemic [is] vaccination. Still, here in this country, we have not yet fully utilized this incredible tool we have, a safe and effective vaccine, “she said.

‘[America has] More vaccines … and delivery and access points … are available than in any other country in the world.

‘[It’s] If so many individuals in this country choose to do so, it is really easy to actually get vaccinated.

Florida, which was also one of the world’s largest COVID-19 hotspots last year, has a slightly better vaccination rate than Arizona, with 54% of the population receiving at least one vaccination.

Dr. Timothy Hendrix, Senior Medical Director of Advent Health CentraCare in central Florida, believes he can do more to increase immunization rates in his state.

Health professionals said that the daily vaccination rate dropped from 3 million per day in April to 1 million per day in June and July, so more before everyone was protected from the virus. I think Americans need to be vaccinated

“We really need to raise vaccination rates and we continue to spread the message,” he told the DailyMail.com.

“We are slowly approaching people, people on the fence, people waiting for it to be convenient for them. We know that there are still many people who still want the vaccine. Is just waiting for it to come in handy. “

He said the employer said that many unvaccinated employees want to be vaccinated in a quick and convenient workplace.

“I think there are many untapped possibilities in terms of vaccination of people. We need to make it convenient and easy for them and provide them with the correct information about the safety and efficacy of vaccines. only.”

Hendrix also had a personal conversation with people who helped convince them to get vaccinated.

“I have a one-on-one conversation every day with people who answer concerns about vaccines and vaccine safety,” he said.

“After the conversation, they [“I will get vaccinated”].. They got it from a medical professional, they feel more confident and comfortable with the vaccine.

According to Hendrix, last summer’s surge began before July 4, the Memorial Day holiday in late May began, and Independence Day accelerated the surge.

Hendrix’s outlook after July 4th this year is more rosy than Vessel’s outlook.

Although it is expected to rise in this case, Hendrix does not anticipate the full-scale surge that the state witnessed last time.

“The differences between this time and the last time are: Half of our population is vaccinated. Perhaps another 15 to 20 percent are infected and have innate immunity,” he said. I got it.

“It’s not the greatest immunity, but it’s better than nothing.

“Because some of our herds are vaccinated, we won’t see big spikes, my prediction. The number of cases will increase, we’re already seeing it now.”

He is taking advantage of spring break, and as on July 4, thousands of people gathered on the beaches of Florida due to the fall of the weekend, and there was no surge in incidents.

“I was worried that a fourth wave would come during spring break as people were going out, gathering, traveling and gathering families,” he said.

“The number of positive cases increased in about 4 to 6 weeks, but not so bad.”

Doctors warn that Independence Day weekend could lead to a fourth wave of COVID-19 cases

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