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COVID-19 update: 2,022 new cases

The Tennessee Department of Health has reported a total of 137,800 cases of COVID-19 across the state, up 2,022 cases since Tuesday on 34,482 new test results. 

Of the total cases, 99,805 people have recovered, 6,069 have been hospitalized and 1,452 have died — up 2,189, 88 and 26, respectively, from the numbers 24 hours earlier. 

The number of active cases in Tennessee has remained relatively flat in the past two weeks, signaling a slow-down of the virus’ spread as testing volumes recover from backlogs and the statewide positivity rate incrementally drops. On Wednesday, the state reported 37,263 residents are currently infected with COVID-19. 

The number of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 has decreased nearly 10 percent from the figure two weeks ago, with the state reporting 1,024 people currently hospitalized throughout 102 facilities and making up about 11 percent of all hospitalizations statewide. Another 206 hospitalized individuals are awaiting test results.

In terms of capacity, the state reports that 19 percent of inpatient beds and 15 percent of ICU beds remain available. Nearly 67 percent of the state’s ventilator supply — which was low in March until officials acquired about 1,000 more — is still available. 

Metro Public Health Department officials reported 182 new cases of COVID-19 since Tuesday, bringing the countywide case count to 24,696. Of those cases, more than 21,700 people have recovered and 214 people have died.

As of Wednesday morning, nearly 15 percent of all inpatient beds and 11 percent of ICU beds in Middle Tennessee were available, both in what public health officials define as “cautionary” levels.

Chamber models predict deeper jobs, GDP drop

The Nashville area is projected to finish the year with an unemployment rate of 8.7 percent, down 1.5 points from where it was in June, according to data provided Wednesday by the Nashville Area Chamber of Commerce.

The chamber’s economic research team recently updated its software models of COVID-19’s regional impact based on data available through Aug. 1. Its new run suggests the region will lose nearly 124,000 non-farm jobs this year and see its gross domestic product drop by $11.2 billion. Those numbers are substantially more negative than they were three months ago when the chamber’s models suggested job losses would be 27,000 and the GDP hit would be $2.3 billion. They also suggest a large number of layoffs between now and year’s end.

Economic activity should return to pre-COVID levels by the third quarter of next year in most parts of the local economy, the chamber team said Wednesday — which is a little sooner than spring’s model run suggested. The big exception is the important hospitality and leisure sector, which isn’t forecast to fully recover its losses until the middle of 2022 and thus will be a drag on Nashville’s overall GDP and job recovery rate.

You can download the chamber’s latest data set here.

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